Did the United States or USSR ever publicly state their estimates for what percentage of their ICBM fleets would launch successfully when the president gave the order? Answers to this question suggest that 8% of all uncrewed rocket launches have been failures. I figure the ICBM rate could have been higher for two reasons:
- The 8% calculation does not include launch delays. For an ICBM, a launch delay would be a form of mission failure.
- ICBMs were constantly monitored by the launch crews, but they did not have the same level of scrutiny and pre-mission attention of planned launches, where the timing of the launch is known in advance.
So are there estimates of how many ICBMs would have made it to their targets when the president gave the order?