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What is the probability that a deep space mission gets hit by such a Solar proton storm?
There's a paper by Riley et al. [2018] (https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-017-0456-3) that estimates the occurrence rate of strong solar storms. So far as I recall, there is a ~10% of chance of a Carrington-level event happening once every decade.
The further out from ...
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